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2024-12-14 10:34:39

The import price of the United States rose for the second consecutive month. Due to the rising fuel cost, the import price of the United States unexpectedly rose in November, rising for the second consecutive month, and geopolitical tensions pushed up the fuel price. According to data released by the US Department of Labor on Friday, US import prices rose by 0.1% month-on-month in November, which was the same as that of last month. Economists had expected a drop of 0.2%. The US Department of Labor said that the main reason for the increase in import prices in the United States last month was the increase in fuel prices. Due to the increasing tension in the Middle East, the price of imported oil rose by 0.4% in November, after a cumulative decline of 12% from July to October. The data shows that non-oil prices rose by 0.2%.For the first time since November 2022, the yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds has exceeded the yield of 3-month US Treasury bonds.Morgan Stanley kept Apple's target price at $273.00.


Japanese people protested against sexual violence by US troops stationed in Japan. On the evening of 13th, Japanese people held a rally outside the Japanese Foreign Ministry in Tokyo to protest against sexual violence by US troops stationed in Japan. (Xinhua News Agency)China is a through train: a moderately loose monetary policy will be implemented in 2025. Recently, both Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference decided that China will implement a moderately loose monetary policy next year. People close to the central bank said that the adjustment of monetary policy expression means that monetary policy will continue to maintain greater support for the real economy next year. In the current situation that the economic recovery is still facing many internal and external uncertainties and prices continue to run at a low level, this is very necessary, and it also reflects the central decision-making deployment of "implementing more active and promising macro policies". Judging from a series of recent policy operations and official statements, China's macro-control ideas are also being dynamically optimized, gradually paying more attention to investment from the past, paying equal attention to investment and consumption, and paying more attention to consumption change. People close to the central bank said that in the future, moderately loose monetary policy will be consistent with the overall macro-control thinking change, and more support will be given to promoting consumption and benefiting people's livelihood. (The country is a through train)Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)


Zhao Xiongwen, a famous expert in communication field and a professor at North China Electric Power University, died of illness at the age of 61. (澎湃)Increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies. A series of reform measures will be introduced next year. From the national development and reform work conference held by the National Development and Reform Commission, we learned that in order to fully implement the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference, we will increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies next year, and solidly promote economic stability, structural improvement and development trend. The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission said that a more active and promising macro policy will be implemented next year to enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation.Brazilian President's Office: Brazilian President Lula recovered well after surgery, and his speech and diet were normal.

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